Marc estimates that New Democracy’s immediate gain from Kyriakos Mitsotakis’s appearance at the TIF, combined with the announcement of significant tax measures affecting around 4 million citizens, is 1.7 percentage points.

In a measurement by the same company on September 2, ND’s voting intention was recorded at 25.3%, while in the poll completed on September 11—five days after the Prime Minister’s announcements at the Vellidio Conference Center—it rose to 27%. Thus, New Democracy breaks the 30% barrier in vote estimates: with 31%, it secures a 17.5-point lead over PASOK, which remains at 13.5%, in a seven-party parliament that could, however, become a nine-party parliament, since MeRA25 and Stefanos Kasselakis’s Democracy Movement appear to narrowly miss the threshold for parliamentary entry.

Despite the fact that responses to the poll reveal a significant information gap about the TIF measures—for example, one in three large families say that the reduction of tax rates based on the number of children affects them little or not at all—those who recognize that they benefit from the measures, even slightly, exceed ND’s percentages by as much as 30 points. For example, 61.2% of public sector employees say they benefit, as do 48.9% of private sector employees.