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> Politics

Metron Analysis: ND at 28.7% with a 15.9-point lead over PASOK, which loses almost one point – What Tsipras & Samaras get

The poll shows a nine-party Parliament, with Niki just below the threshold. SYRIZA stands at 4.9%. The potential vote for a “Tsipras party” is 24%, and for a “Samaras party” 12%. 49% are in favor of early elections, while 48% are against. Trump’s popularity among the Greek public has risen after the Gaza agreement

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Half-point recovery for ND compared to the September poll was recorded by Metron Analysis in the survey presented on Mega TV’s main news bulletin. The company gives 28.7% to the ruling New Democracy (ND) in voting intention and 12.8% to PASOK, which loses 0.8 points within a month.

Third party, with a slight decline, remains Greek Solution, at 11.7%, while KKE climbs to 10%, just ahead of Course of Freedom, which records 9.9% — despite the fact that Zoe Konstantopoulou continues to be the most popular political leader, up two points, from 37% to 39%.
SYRIZA shows the biggest losses — around 1.3 points in a month — apparently due to expectations for the creation of a “Tsipras party,” while Voice of Logic loses 0.5 points, possibly in anticipation of a party founded by Antonis Samaras.

The poll results show a nine-party Parliament, as both the Democracy Movement and MeRA25 narrowly cross the 3% threshold, while Niki gains almost one point but still falls just short.

Mitsotakis Dominates in Prime Minister Suitability

Kyriakos Mitsotakis maintains a strong 19-point lead in the measure of who is most suitable for prime minister, far ahead of Kyriakos Velopoulos, Zoe Konstantopoulou, and Nikos Androulakis, each clustered around 6%.
Interestingly, there were spontaneous mentions of around 5% for Alexis Tsipras as the most suitable for prime minister — even though he has not yet formally created a political party and is therefore not officially considered a party leader.

Tsipras’ Prospects

As for voting potential, a “Tsipras party” would receive 24%, with its core vote rising one point since September to 11%, and its broader potential electorate increasing by two points to 13% within a month.
Most of those ready to vote for a Tsipras-led party place themselves on the center-left and left, though he also maintains a smaller but notable presence among centrists, center-right, and even right-wing voters.

Samaras’ Prospects

At the same time, the “Samaras party” polls low — its core vote is at 3%. Including those who say it is “quite likely” they would vote for it, its potential vote share reaches 12%.
His base lies mainly among right-wing and center-right voters, but he also shows a respectable level of appeal among centrists and even center-left voters.

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Early Elections Debate

The electorate appears split on whether the government should complete its four-year term: 49% favor early elections, while 48% prefer that they be held at the end of the term.
At the same time, 63% say that Greece needs political change, while 36% prefer political stability.

Inflation and the economy remain the top concerns, though slightly reduced compared to September. Among the top five issues — and rising — are the crisis of institutions, corruption, and insecurity.

It is also noteworthy — for whatever influence it may have on public opinion — that Donald Trump’s positive ratings in Greece have risen by 11 points in one month, apparently due to the Israel–Hamas agreement.

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