“Italexit” more likely than “Grexit”, study claims

Italy has 9.9% chance of leaving the common currency union

A recently published report by the German institute Sentix reveals that Greece is no longer considered the most likely country to leave the Eurozone. According to its survey of over 1000 investors and analysts, Italy now occupies first place.

With an 8,48% probability of a Grexit versus a 9,9% probability of an Italexit, Italy is in the clear lead in the zero-sum game of the Eurocrisis, where no winners are likely to emerge. This is the first time since data collection began in 2012 that Greece is not in first place.