The data for the course of the temperature next summer in Europe are ominous, according to the European Center for Medium-term Meteorological Forecasts (ECMWF).

The graph below shows historical forecasts for every May from 2017 to the present for the summer months (June-July-August) with the gray bars showing the uncertainty in the price deviations from the 1993-2016 climate price (already a very warm period), and the gray circles show the extreme predictive values of all available scenarios.

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The red “X” dots show the actual temperatures observed by weather stations after the end of the forecast periods, and it should be noted that the warmest summer was recorded in 2022, very close to one of the extreme forecast values in May 2022.