The world will not wait long for the formation of a new government, emphasized the winner of the German elections and the next chancellor, Friedrich Merz, in his first statements.

“We will all speak among ourselves, and we will quickly form a government,” he said, explaining that the world will not wait long for the formation of a new government, something that needs to happen immediately. He added that he is taking the initiative for this purpose.

“We have won the elections of today,” he said, a phrase that was met with applause. “We won the elections because the alliance worked together and we prepared very well for these elections,” he continued, thanking all those who helped achieve the result, as well as the youth.

“We are ready to take over the governance of the country,” he emphasized.

Merz mentioned that he knows his mission and that things will not be easy, expressing his respect for the other parties despite the fierce competition.

The Scenarios for the Next Day and the Thriller

The Christian Democratic Union is once again in charge of the country, and after Angela Merkel’s long tenure and Olaf Scholz’s “interim” period, it will have to find the necessary alliances in the coming period to form a government. Friedrich Merz’s task will not be easy, as, according to initial data, a double “thriller” is unfolding: Will the Liberals and the far-left enter the Bundestag or not?

This will depend on the final vote count, something that is expected to take a while, but it seems there is already a basis for understanding between certain forces that will be hard to overturn. It is clear that no party from the democratic spectrum will cooperate with the AfD in the next phase, despite Weidel’s statement, as the second-largest party, saying that they are open to dialogue.

If we take the exit poll data as given, the CDU will have 211 seats in the new Bundestag, the AfD will have 142, the SPD – despite being at a historic low since 1990 – will have 116, the Greens will have 98, and the Left will have 62. For Merz to have a government with legislative power, it must have 316 seats. With the current data, the CDU/CSU combined with the SPD totals 327 seats, giving them a comfortable majority, essentially turning into action what the next chancellor described as an ideal cooperation with a political opponent they have worked with many times in the past, with plenty of points of convergence.

This configuration is also much more flexible, and if the numerical data is confirmed, the talks to form a government will be short – even if the center-left will go directly to electing a new president. In a different scenario, if cooperation with the Greens is required, the discussions will be lengthy, as especially the Bavarians of the Union do not want to hear about the environmental policies of the particular party, which, according to them, significantly affects the automobile industry in Bavaria.

If the Liberals manage to enter the Bundestag at the last minute, they will certainly be preferred…