The peak of the “anti-systemic” wave that began with the rallies over the Tempi tragedy in late January and continued with the massive rallies on the second anniversary of the deadly train accident was recorded by three polls – Metron Analysis, MRB and Prorata – on Thursday night: ND is now repatriating forces from the area of undecided voters, Course of Freedom continues to increase its poll numbers while PASOK and SYRIZA persist in their downward trend and are characterized as “systemic” parties by citizens.
As far as the prime minister’s position is concerned, Kyriakos Mitsotakis is still opposed by “Nobody”, with Zoe Konstantopoulou in third place, Kyriakos Velopoulos in third and Nikos Androulakis, who is otherwise the leader of the opposition, in fourth place.
PASOK’s president is – through all perspectives – the big loser of the moment, as his polling image is collapsing at all levels, and he is far from securing the positive opinion of the vast majority of citizens who still say they vote for his party. It is obvious that with these poll performances, developments are predestined, both in PASOK, as well as in SYRIZA and the New Left, which continues to fly low, without the slightest prospect of entering the Parliament.
Despite the fact that the Tempi accident is no longer on the top priorities of citizens – punctuality is by far the first problem voters say they face – it is telling that a very large majority continues to believe that the government is not doing all it can to get to the truth about the railway accident. At the same time, much of the public say they see voting as a means to send a message, positive or negative, rather than to form a government.
Zoe Konstantopoulou and, secondarily, Kyriakos Velopoulos are established as the winners of this “antisystamism” – which again, after 10 ten years, registers a polling rate of over 40% – while other parties, such as Niki, benefit from circumstances, such as the vandalism at the National Gallery, and are sustained at rates that give them a ticket to the Parliament, such as MERA25.
However, it is obvious that their poll ratings will be tested in the next wave of polls, after Easter, as the scenarios about the tragedy in Tempi and the theories about the creation of the fireball, which are now multiple, will be tested in relation to the international situation and the risk of a global trade war. Recall that usually in emergency situations, societies are accustomed to standing by their governments…
The Voice of Reason, which appeared to take a “pro-government” position in the case of the Tempi tragedy, has seen a significant drop, while the KKE has also recorded losses, despite the fact that it is still high in the ranking of “anti-systemic” parties.
It should be noted that the electorate’s picture does not show an election atmosphere – despite the fact that a small majority still exists with regard to the formation of a government. This fact – despite the fact that the majority in most polls declare that they want early elections – shows that we are facing an emotional explosion in Greek society, which may have unpredictable results in the near future.
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