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> Politics

Pulse poll: ND leads by 16.5 points, the 2nd largest margin since 2016, with left and center-left losing ground — Karystianou, Tsipras

New Democracy extends lead to 16.5 points in Pulse Poll

Newsroom January 21 09:13

The ruling party, New Democracy (ND), is half a point up at 29.5% in voting intention. PASOK loses half a point, Plevsi Eleftherias drops by one point, Greek Solution and KKE lose half a point each, and SYRIZA is down one point, with the “gray zone” at 18.5%.

Pulse recorded New Democracy at 29.5% in the latest poll presented on Skai’s central news broadcast, up half a point from December. The company also showed a chart of polling differences between the ruling party and the runner-up party, revealing that the current 16.5-point lead is the second largest since 2016, when Kyriakos Mitsotakis became ND president. The largest lead was recorded in 2024.

Almost all other parties, except Foni Logikis (Voice of Reason), which gained half a point, saw losses: PASOK dropped half a point to 13%, slightly above its European elections result (12.8%), Plevsi lost one point but remains third, Greek Solution and KKE each fell half a point. SYRIZA lost a full point in one month, MeRA25 remains steady at 2.5% and just crosses the threshold to enter parliament, Niki, Kasselakis party, and New Left each lost half a point, staying at 2%.

Parties Under Formation

Those choosing “other parties” rose to 10.5% from 9.7% in December. This correlates with anticipation around new parties led by Maria Karystianou and Alexis Tsipras: 54% of voters supporting “other parties” view Karystianou’s party positively, and 11% view Tsipras’s party positively.

31% express interest or a positive view about a new party by Maria Karystianou (Pulse had not measured this before), while 19% feel similarly about Tsipras’s party, down from 21% in the previous poll. Interest in a party from Samaras dropped to 10% from 14% as the former PM did not pursue such moves.

Among those who view Karystianou’s party positively (15% of the sample), 34% also view Tsipras’s party positively, and among those interested (16%), over 10% say the same about Tsipras’s party. This suggests an overlap exceeding 40%.

Penetration of Karystianou and Tsipras’s parties among ND voters is very low but rises significantly among PASOK voters — 12% have a positive view of Karystianou’s party and 9% of Tsipras’s. Karystianou’s party receives 20% positive opinion among Plevsi voters and 11% among the gray zone voters (which total 16.5%).

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Tsipras has 48% positive opinions among those who voted SYRIZA in the 2024 European elections, while Karystianou has 23%. Notably, 28% express a positive view of a party whose leaders have no prior political experience — Karystianou’s main appeal — especially among 30-44-year-olds (41%) and center-left voters (41%).

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