ND has solidified a commanding lead, surpassing the psychological threshold of 30% and achieving more than double the score of the second party, according to polls by MRB and Metron Analysis presented yesterday. Meanwhile, only a few decimal points separate PASOK and the Course of Freedom in the battle for second place.

At the same time, inflation continues to be the dominant social concern, and both polls clearly reflect the anxiety of Greek public opinion regarding rapid geopolitical developments in the Middle East.

In Metron Analysis’ poll, ND leads with 30.2% in the vote estimate, 15.4 percentage points ahead of the next party. This poll also shows a parliament with 10 parties and a predominantly negative stance among Greeks toward the American operation in Iran. Both the ruling party and PASOK show slight drops compared to May’s measurements – however, Course of Freedom (Zoe Konstantopoulou’s party) loses one point in voting intention and nearly two points in the vote estimate.

Meanwhile, Kyriakos Mitsotakis remains unchallenged in terms of suitability for prime minister, receiving 27%, compared to 9% for Zoe Konstantopoulou, who holds a clear second place despite a one-point loss. Nikos Androulakis gains one point and is at 6%. Konstantopoulou remains the most popular political leader, even after losing 4 points in one month, a trend shared by the leaders of all major parties, according to Metron Analysis.

Trump: Persona Non Grata

The survey broadly reflects a vote estimate similar to the European elections, placing ten parties in parliament. The Voice of Reason, led by Afroditi Latinopoulou, approaches the parliamentary threshold with 2.8%. SYRIZA appears stable despite internal strife, while parties such as NIKI, New Left, and MeRA25 show notable gains.

Internationally, approval for former U.S. President Donald Trump drops sharply from 26% in May to 18%, following his moves related to the Middle East conflict. Negative views of him rose to 76%. Additionally, nearly 7 in 10 Greeks describe Israel’s attack on Iran as “unacceptable.”

ND Widens Lead in MRB Poll

In MRB’s latest poll, ND leads with 30.2%, 16.2 points ahead of PASOK, while Course of Freedom falls to third after losing two points in a month.

If elections were held today, according to MRB’s projection, the parliament would have seven parties, with ND maintaining a lead of 40.5 percentage points in “victory projection.”

Minor Changes Confirm Trends

The latest measurement confirms the steady rise of ND and the decline of Course of Freedom, which is now third behind PASOK.

Specifically, ND records 23.7% in voting intention (up from 22.7% in late May), PASOK rises to 11%, and Course of Freedom falls to 10.7%. In adjusted vote estimates, ND reaches 30.2% (2.1 points above its EU election score), PASOK reaches 14% (+1.2), while Course of Freedom drops from 15.6% to 13.6% in under a month.

ND also holds a massive 40.5-point lead in “victory projection” (46.7% versus PASOK’s 6.2%). Mitsotakis leads comfortably in prime ministerial suitability, even in direct comparisons with either Konstantopoulou or Androulakis.

Konstantopoulou Leaves Androulakis Behind

Notably, Zoe Konstantopoulou is ahead of Nikos Androulakis both quantitatively and qualitatively, even though PASOK is second in vote estimates and Course of Freedom third, by a margin of only decimal points.

Four parties hover around the parliamentary threshold. With adjusted percentages, MeRA25 is just inside with 3.1%, while NIKI and Democracy Movement register 2.9%, and Voice of Reason at 2.6%. Undecided voters remain high at 21.6%.

Public Sentiment: Fear, Anger, and Some Hope

The survey describes a socially tense atmosphere, with dominant feelings being fear (46.7%) and anger (44.9%). Still, 30% of respondents cite “hope” as their prevailing emotion.

Most Popular Ministers

In terms of ministerial popularity, rankings remain mostly unchanged:

• Nikos Dendias (Defense Minister) leads with 41.1%,
• followed by Kyriakos Pierrakakis (33.6%),
• Takis Theodorikakos (31.1%),
• Vassilis Kikilias (30.7%),
• and Kostis Hatzidakis (30.5%).