The poll by Real Polls, published on protagon.gr, records the strengthening of the polling position of New Democracy, which for the first time in nine months surpasses the psychological threshold of 25% in voting intention. Public approval of the government’s actions following the outbreak of the war in the Middle East—also reflected in this survey—is clearly the reason for this development.

New Democracy rises to 26.1%, a notable increase from 24.5% in the company’s February survey, while the opposition remains fragmented. The emerging parties of Maria Karystianou and Alexis Tsipras appear capable of challenging PASOK – Movement for Change for second place.

The main opposition party in particular once again appears in a Real Polls survey to gain over 50% more support—specifically 6 percentage points—in voting intention if it had a different leader, while New Democracy would suffer only small losses. This suggests that support for the governing party is largely partisan. In such a hypothetical scenario, SYRIZA would also strengthen significantly, while all other parties would collapse.

PASOK records an increase for the second consecutive month, reaching 9.8% in voting intention (from 8.7% in February) and 14.9% in projected results (from 12.7%), stabilizing in second place. However, the gap with New Democracy is widening rather than shrinking: it stands at 16.3 points in voting intention and 15.9 points in the projected result.

Course of Freedom stabilizes after its sharp drop in February: 8.1% in voting intention (from 8.4%) and 12.7% in projected results (up from 11.9%). SYRIZA continues its decline: 3.3% in voting intention (from 3.9% in February) and 3.9% in projected results (from 5.3%), the lowest performance in this series of surveys.

Hellenic Solution shows a small change: 6.9% intention (from 6.6%) and 8.1% projection (from 9.1%).
Communist Party of Greece drops noticeably to 6.3% intention (from 6.8%) and 7.4% projection (from 8.8%).
MeRA25 declines to 2.9% intention and 3.5% projection (from 3.5% and 5.2% respectively in February), while Voice of Reason stands at 2.7%–3.1% (from 3.4%–4.6%).

Undecided voters fall to 13.8% (from 16.3%), while the category “other party” remains almost stable at 9.8% (from 9.3%). The shift suggests that some of February’s undecided voters returned to party preferences, most likely to New Democracy in the shadow of the geopolitical crisis.

Deployment to Cyprus: Broad national consensus

On one issue there is near universal agreement: the deployment of military forces to Cyprus. A striking 72.4% evaluate the decision positively or rather positively (45.4% positive, 27% rather positive), while only 23.2% express a negative or rather negative opinion.

When asked what stance Greece should take in the U.S.–Israel–Iran crisis, the majority avoids extremes:

• 33.3% prefer “diplomatic distancing with only humanitarian aid.”
• 24.5% support “clear alignment with the West.”
• 21.1% want “active mediation for de-escalation.”
• 15.9% prefer “full neutrality.”

In total, nearly 70% do not want full identification with the Western military axis, an answer that creates political space for criticism of the government line.

The new parties

The appearance of Alexis Tsipras in Thessaloniki on March 6, where he confirmed plans for a new party, does not appear to be reflected strongly in polling numbers. To the question “how likely are you to vote for a party led by Tsipras,” the positive ceiling declines:

• 9.6% “very likely” (from 10.9% in February)
• 5.8% “quite likely” (from 6.3%)

Total positive response: 15.4% (from 17.2%). At the same time, “not at all likely” remains at 69.6%, meaning nearly seven out of ten citizens firmly rule it out.

Maria Karystianou shows slight improvement compared with February:

• 12.6% “very likely” (from 10.8%)
• 9.6% “quite likely” (almost unchanged)

Total positive response rises to 22.2% (from 20.6%). However, “not at all likely” remains high at 62.2%. Analysts say this modest recovery may reflect sympathy during a period of growing public anger toward the system, but without faces, a program, or an official party launch, Karystianou still operates in a field of hypothetical support.

Crisis of trust in institutions (except the Armed Forces)

The Armed Forces rank highest in citizens’ trust, with 65.5% expressing significant or absolute confidence (34.9% “absolute,” 30.6% level 3), and only 12.7% expressing no trust. In a wartime and geopolitically uncertain environment, analysts note that the military is the only institution enjoying majority approval.

At the opposite end, trust in the media is at rock bottom: 63.1% say they have “no trust at all,” and only 0.9% express “absolute” trust, reflecting a near-total collapse of credibility for the press.

Immediately behind come:

• The government – 60.4% “no trust”
• The President of the Republic – 58.3%
• Parliament – 53%

Trust in the judiciary is also low: 48.1% say “no trust at all,” while only 7.3% express absolute trust, reflecting accumulated disappointment from scandals such as the one involving OPEKEPE.

Political parties follow with 48.2% “no trust at all”, meaning almost one in two citizens does not trust them at all.

The European Union receives slightly better ratings (36.3% “no trust,” 31.8% at higher trust levels), likely due to its role in crisis management and the military mobilization in Cyprus, though overall assessments remain negative.