The first poll reflecting public opinion after recent developments shows that the government has managed to limit losses from the OPEKEPE case, statements by Laura Kövesi, and the Lazaridis issue. Positive evaluations for the government stand at 38.5%, while Kyriakos Mitsotakis remains unmatched in suitability for prime minister.

A significant rebound in support for New Democracy is recorded, reaching 32.2% in vote estimation—nearly four points above its European election result—according to the Marc poll presented by Proto Thema. At the same time, positive ratings for the government and the prime minister stand at 38.5% and 39.1% respectively, approaching levels seen in the 2023 national elections.

The survey began on April 23, one day after Mitsotakis announced support measures linked to the conflict in the Persian Gulf. Each measure was deemed “very” or “fairly” important by 43.8% to 58.5% of respondents. The most valued measures include a €150 allowance per child and an increase in support for low-income pensioners from €250 to €300.

On the same day, parliament voted to lift immunity for 13 New Democracy MPs in relation to OPEKEPE, without complications for the ruling party, while corruption-related remarks by Laura Kövesi were also made from Delphi. The survey concluded on April 28, following Emmanuel Macron’s visit to Athens, which included strong statements of defense support for Greece.

Public sentiment and concerns

Concerns over the Gulf conflict strongly shape public sentiment. More than 8 in 10 respondents say they are “very” or “fairly” worried, with the primary concern being rising prices and potential product shortages.

In this context:

• 22.1% say the government is “doing everything it can” to tackle inflation
• 33.9% say it is “trying, but more decisive measures are needed”
• Only 24.4% feel they benefit significantly from the support measures

Government evaluation

This is the third consecutive Marc poll since October 2025 showing rising support for the ruling party. In the previous poll (February), positive evaluations stood at 36.8%. Now they have increased to 38.5%, while Mitsotakis reaches 39.1%.

He also leads in suitability for prime minister with 32.8%, even attracting support from around 15% of PASOK voters.

The only change in rankings is the return of Nikos Androulakis to second place (7.7%), just ahead of Zoe Konstantopoulou (7.1%) and Kyriakos Velopoulos (5.9%). Alexis Tsipras is not included yet, pending the official announcement of his new party.

Opposition and party dynamics

PASOK increases its lead over Plefsi Eleftherias in the question of “most substantive opposition,” reaching 15.6% versus 8.9%.

However, PASOK scores low among younger and working-age voters, rising significantly only among those aged 65+. Notably, only 45.9% of its own voters believe it provides the most substantive opposition.

Emerging parties

Marc did not publish voting estimates for the upcoming parties of Alexis Tsipras and Maria Karystianou, as announcements are imminent. However, polling sentiment suggests Tsipras’s party could rank second and Karystianou’s third, pushing PASOK to fourth place and reducing support for smaller parties.

Parliamentary outlook

The poll suggests a seven-party parliament, potentially expanding to nine, as parties like MeRA25 and the Kasselakis party narrowly miss entry but show slight gains.

Current estimates:

• PASOK: 13.5%
• Plefsi Eleftherias: 9.5%
• Elliniki Lysi: 9.2%
• KKE: 8%
• SYRIZA: 6.8%

Other parties like Niki and New Left remain outside parliament for now.

Impact of war and cost of living

The Gulf conflict continues to influence public opinion. Earlier unpublished polling showed New Democracy slightly higher than its current 32.2%, indicating continued recovery despite setbacks.

When asked what costs the government the most politically:

• Over one-third cite inflation
• Only one in five mention the Tempi tragedy or OPEKEPE scandal

Support measures

Key measures receive strong approval:

• Debt restructuring up to 72 installments: 58.5%
• Expansion of out-of-court settlements: 54.6%
• Rental subsidy expansion: 57.7%
• Lifting bank account seizures after partial repayment: 53%
• €150 per child allowance: 55.7%
• Pension and disability support increases: 51.9%

Measures like diesel and fertilizer subsidies receive lower (but still notable) approval, as they are seen as targeting specific groups.

The €150 child allowance is particularly popular among younger people and women, while pension increases resonate more with older age groups.

Notably, only 7.7% of New Democracy voters say none of the measures are important, compared to higher skepticism among opposition voters.