Marc puts New Democracy’s estimated vote share at 30.4% in a poll presented on ANT1’s main evening news bulletin. Alexis Tsipras’ ELAS has also “hit the brakes” in this survey, losing 0.2 percentage points to fall to 15.8%, while PASOK narrows the gap by 1.1 points, to 3.4 percentage points.

On suitability for the post of prime minister, Kyriakos Mitsotakis scores 30.6%, down 0.4 percentage points, compared with 14.2% for Alexis Tsipras, who loses 0.7 points. Nikos Androulakis once again records a single-digit score, falling from 8% to 7.4%.

Greek Solution and the Communist Party of Greece (KKE) are tied for fourth place in estimated voting share, at 7% each. Course to Freedom remains steady at 5.5%, while Maria Karystianou loses another percentage point, falling to 4.5%.

Marc’s survey places the Alliance of Greeks in seventh place. This is the party that Ilias Kasidiaris, who was convicted of participating in the criminal organization Golden Dawn, has declared his support for. Voice of Reason rises slightly, from 3.5% to 3.6%, while MeRA25 loses 0.6 percentage points, falling to 2.6% in estimated voting share. SYRIZA is measured at 1.8%, up slightly by 0.2 points, while Niki rises from 1.3% to 1.7%. Marc records support for “another party” at 3.5%, down from 6.9% in September, apparently reflecting the inclusion of Kasidiaris’ party as a separate option.

Based on the estimated vote share, New Democracy would win 121 seats. Forming a two-party government would therefore require cooperation either with ELAS, which would have 47 seats, or with PASOK, which would win 37 seats under such a result.

Meanwhile, 41.1% want political stability, with support for this position increasing with age. It starts at 32.1% among those aged 17–44 and reaches 53% among people over 65.

Based on voting intention, 94.8% of New Democracy voters favor stability. The same view is held by 32.5% of PASOK voters, 24.3% of Greek Solution voters, 22.3% of Course to Freedom voters, 22.4% of Alliance of Greeks voters, and 13.1% of KKE voters.

The lowest level of support for political stability is recorded among ELAS voters, at just 4.1%. Meanwhile, 89.7% of ELAS voters favor political change.

The government receives positive evaluations from 36.7% of respondents. This includes 72.3% of those who voted for New Democracy in the 2023 elections, as well as 30.1% of PASOK voters.

Marc also conducted a survey examining citizens’ perceptions of the personal characteristics of the prime minister and the leaders of ELAS and PASOK.

Kyriakos Mitsotakis leads with 36.7%, compared with 21.4% for Alexis Tsipras and 16.3% for Nikos Androulakis, when respondents are asked who has the best positions on the country’s future. Mitsotakis scores twice as highly as the former prime minister on the question of who is more effective at handling problems and crises.

He also leads Tsipras, with 30.9% against 22.5%, on who can improve people’s lives. However, he trails the former prime minister by 0.6 percentage points on who is more likable.

Androulakis ranks third on all these questions. However, PASOK clearly takes first place among political parties when respondents are asked which party provides the most substantive opposition, with 16.6%, compared with 9.2% for ELAS and 8.2% for Course to Freedom.

Households and the Cost of Living

Asked about efforts to tackle high prices, 31.8% say the government is trying to help but that more decisive measures and inspections are needed. Another 53.1% say the government is dragging its feet, while 13% believe it is doing everything it can with the means available to it.

Regarding their household’s financial situation, 17% describe it as comfortable or very comfortable. A further 46.5% say it is “moderate,” while 35.6% describe it as “difficult” or “very difficult.”