“The only certainty is the great uncertainty,” almost all election analysts say who face with unprecedented phenomena such as the largest percentage of undecided voters that has ever been observed in such a short period before the elections, as well as the low certainty both for the participation in the electoral process and the final selection of the electorate.

Given the nature of the upcoming elections which pose a real dilemma, the risks, as analysts argue, that lurk in an erratic election result without clear winners are three:

– In an atmosphere of a general political collapse, the country is led to early elections, without having addressed the large pending adjustment of debt. It is not a coincidence that a representative of the IMF stressed that “the Greek program, like other programs, is based on political stability which is an important issue,”.

– The range of future anarchy with which the entire political system might need to face. The government combination and cooperation options, which are already quite difficult and confusing, might become even more difficult, if some trends that limit the sum of the forces of the new “bipartisanship” (New Democracy – SYRIZA) to below 50 % are confirmed.

– The possible enhancement of extreme anti-parliamentary forces, mainly Golden Dawn, which, despite the criminal activities of the leading team and the imprisonment of MPs and executives of the organization, it gets satisfactory percentage in voting intention according to opinion polls. In particular, indictee MP Elias Kasidiaris claiming the Municipality of Athens gets great percentages and the possibility to pass to the second round cannot be ruled out.

Election analysts believe that the elections results of the first round of municipal elections might influence European elections. According to experts, the way the main political forces that expect electoral gains of this electoral process, i.e. New Democracy, SYRIZA and PASOK, manage the outcome of the first round as well as the psychology of the second vote, are the main two factors that do not allow drawing safe conclusions about the results in European elections.

According to estimations, the following will be the keys to interpret the climate that will be created in the week between the two elections:
– The percentage of voters who will abstain, which can not be estimated
– The battle in the Municipality of Athens and the possible contenders
– The number of regions in which SYRIZA will be in the second round
– The fragmentation of the centre-right with the triple nomination enhances the possibility of seeing Mr Kasidiaris winning the elections

The above possibility that was recorded in some of the latest polls alarmed the rest of the candidates since if such a possibility is confirmed, the political landscape will be overturned and the impact on the double elections will be very serious .

As for Mr Evangelos Venizelos, the dilemma he posed the previous days, “Elia or national elections”, was considered to be a high risk move.

However, according to recent polls, PASOK seems to overcome after the dilemma posed saying that if the centre-left coalition “Elia” is condemned, then the political stability will be at stake and dissolution of the current government scheme and even early elections would be possible.