A difference of 16.8 percentage points in vote estimate from second-place PASOK is maintained by New Democracy, according to the Opinion Poll survey presented on the main news bulletin of Action 24.

Compared to the March survey, New Democracy shows a loss of 1.5% in its percentages, while PASOK maintains second place (14.4%) despite the rapid increase in preferences for the “Other Party,” which surged within one month to 12.6% from 8.8%.

The clear lead of New Democracy is reflected in the most characteristic way in the “winner projection,” as 54.4% of respondents believe that in the next parliamentary elections ND will win again, while Kyriakos Mitsotakis maintains a large lead in suitability for prime minister over his political opponents. The prime minister gathers 28.9%, second is Alexis Tsipras and Nikos Androulakis shares fourth place with Zoe Konstantopoulou.

Vote estimate

More specifically, in the vote estimate New Democracy shows losses of around 1.5% compared to the March survey and stands at 31.2% (32.7% in March). Second-place PASOK, which shows an increase of 1.2%, stands at 14.4% (from 13.2% in March).

In third place appears Hellenic Solution with 9.4% (9.2%). Following are Course of Freedom with 8.2%, showing a drop of 1.2% (9.6% in March), the Communist Party of Greece with stable strength at 7.8%, SYRIZA with 4.3% (4.7%), Voice of Reason with 4.3% (4.9%), MeRA25 with 2.8% (2.9%), NIKI with 1.7% (1.9%), Democrats with 1.1% (1.7%), Spartans with 1.1% (1.5%), and New Left stable at 1%.

It is worth noting that the “Other party” appears with a significant rise to 12.6% from 8.8%, which is mainly due to the fact that it temporarily “hosts” a portion of those looking toward the two new parties of Alexis Tsipras and Maria Karystianou, whose establishment is expected within the month.

Voting intention on valid votes

The performances are:
ND 25.5%, PASOK 11.7%, Hellenic Solution 7.7%, Course of Freedom 6.7%, KKE 6.3%, SYRIZA 3.5%, Voice of Reason 3.5%, MeRA25 2.3%, NIKI 1.4%, Spartans and Democrats 0.9%, New Left 0.8%, Other party 10.3% and Undecided 18.4%.

It is noted that overall the “grey zone” stands at 21.5% and, combined with the high percentage of the other party, foreshadows significant changes at least initially with the announcement of the two new parties.

At 54.4% the winner projection for ND

• 31.5% evaluate positively or rather positively the government’s performance so far under Kyriakos Mitsotakis, with 66.2% evaluating it negatively or rather negatively.

• 10.6% are very and quite satisfied with PASOK’s opposition strategy as the official opposition party, with 87.6% declaring little or no satisfaction. It is noted that among PASOK voters, 40.5% declare very and quite satisfied and 59.6% little or not at all (23.4% not at all).

• On suitability for Prime Minister, to the open-ended question “which political leader do you consider most suitable for Prime Minister,” Kyriakos Mitsotakis leads with 28.9%, Alexis Tsipras appears second, followed by Kyriakos Velopoulos with 6%, Nikos Androulakis and Zoe Konstantopoulou with 5.8%, Maria Karystianou with 5.1%, Afroditi Latinopoulou with 2.3%, Dimitris Koutsoumpas with 2%, etc. “No one” stands at 23.4%.

• 28.4% answer that elections should be held immediately, 24.6% in the autumn and 39.3% in spring 2027.

• 50.7% state that in the next elections they will vote more to ensure political stability, and 34.9% to express protest.

• 45.4% would like the resulting government to be single-party and 45.9% to be a coalition government.

• In the winner projection, 54.4% believe that ND will win the next parliamentary elections. 20.8% do not answer, 6.7% say another party, 5.6% PASOK, 4.3% Hellenic Solution, 3% Course of Freedom, etc. At the same time, 49.9% consider it very or quite likely that Kyriakos Mitsotakis and ND will secure a third term, with 46.7% answering little or not at all (21.8% not at all).

What they say about Tsipras – Karystianou

For a Tsipras party: 19.1% state it is very or quite likely they would vote for it, 11.5% slightly likely and 65.9% not at all. There appears to be an increase in potential vote by 4.3% compared to March and a decrease of 5.5% among those who say “not at all likely.”

For a Karystianou party: there is stability in potential vote compared to March, after a previous drop of ten points in March compared to January. 21.1% (21.3% in March) say it is very or quite likely they would vote for it.

The survey also measured the potential vote of a possible party by Antonis Samaras. 9.1% say it is very or quite likely they would vote for it (10% in March).

Issues concerning citizens

1. High prices (cost of living) remain by far the top issue at 52.2%, followed by economy/development (30.7%), corruption (18.1%), justice/rule of law (15.6%), fuel/energy prices (14.7%), the war in Iran (11.7%), the state of the national health system (9.4%), crime/violence (9%), etc.
2. Concern about the war in Iran and overall war developments remains strong. 31.2% say developments worry them more and 45.6% say they worry them the same as before—reaching 76.8% combined. 14.4% say less than before and 7.3% not at all.

This climate of concern keeps the demand for stability very high. 78.2% believe geopolitical turbulence requires stability in the country, with 14.3% holding the opposite view.

3. The government’s foreign and defense policy receives a relatively high level of positive evaluation overall. 44.7% have a very or quite positive view, while 52.9% view it little or not at all positively (28% not at all).
4. Concern about the prospect of a wave of price increases due to international developments is almost universal. 92.3% say they are very or quite worried, with 6.8% saying little or not at all.
5. Regarding the economic measures announced by the government to address high prices and support living standards, 35.8% say they are in a positive direction. Specifically, 9.1% say they will help, 26.7% say they are positive but insufficient. 27% say they fall far short of needs and 35.8% say they have no real value.

Additionally, 34.7% say the government is generally trying, within fiscal limits, to improve incomes and living standards, while 62.9% disagree.

6. Regarding new case files on OPEKEPE made public, 42.8% say this is another example of long-standing patronage across all governments, 42.2% say it shows patronage increased under the current government, and 11.4% say it added nothing new.
7. 43% believe the Prime Minister showed proper and immediate reflexes regarding lifting MPs’ immunity and ministerial resignations, while 50.5% disagree.
8. 47.7% believe it is the right measure to establish incompatibility between being a minister and an MP, while 35.8% disagree.