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Study: Earth warming at record rate but no evidence of climate change accelerating

Natural factors like El Nino contributed to about 8%

Newsroom June 6 11:55

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In 2023, Earth’s warming rate reached an all-time high, with 92% of the record-breaking heat attributed to human activities, according to a group of 57 scientists. Using United Nations-approved methods, the scientists examined the causes behind last year’s unprecedented heat. Despite the faster warming rate, they found no significant acceleration in human-caused climate change beyond increased fossil fuel consumption. Lead author Piers Forster emphasized that the increase in temperature aligns with predictions and is primarily due to the accumulation of carbon dioxide from fossil fuels.

Last year, the warming rate hit 0.26 degrees Celsius per decade, the highest ever recorded. This slight increase from the previous year’s rate of 0.25 degrees Celsius highlights the severity of the situation. Andrea Dutton, a climate scientist at the University of Wisconsin, stressed that addressing climate change is crucial for saving human lives. The report, which provides annual updates between major U.N. scientific assessments, indicated that 2023 was 1.43 degrees Celsius warmer than the 1850-1900 average, with human activity accounting for 1.31 degrees of this increase. Natural factors like El Nino contributed the remaining 8%.

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The report warned that continued use of fossil fuels could push global temperatures beyond the 1.5 degrees Celsius threshold within 4.5 years, leading to severe ecological consequences. Scientists noted that even if the 1.5-degree limit is surpassed, catastrophic changes, including the loss of coral reefs and Arctic sea ice, and more extreme weather events, would likely occur between 1.5 and 2 degrees Celsius of warming. Despite debate over potential acceleration, the report found the current situation already dire, with significant impacts being felt now.

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