August is expected to be warmer than normal this coming August, according to meteo.gr/National Observatory of Athens, stressing that “long-term forecasts are characterized by great uncertainty and aim to estimate the trend in the monthly and seasonal evolution of average weather conditions.”

As shown in the graph below, under 95% of the available scenarios, the average August temperature will be above normal for the season, with a reference period from 1993 to 2016.

The most likely scenarios are for deviations of 1-2 degrees Celsius (45%) and 0-1 degrees Celsius (36%), while the probability of average temperature deviations of more than 2 degrees Celsius is 14%.

The entire meteo post:

Long-term forecast for the average temperature in August 2024.
A warmer than normal August is expected to be next August in SE Europe (including Greece) according to long-term forecasts issued in July. As shown in the graph below, according to 95 % of the available scenarios, the average August temperature will be higher than normal for the season (reference period: 1993-2016). More specifically, the most likely scenarios are for deviations of 1-2 °C (45 %) and 0-1 °C (36 %). The probability of average temperature deviations above 2 °C is 14 %.

This forecast is based on a total of 300 possible scenarios from the following forecast centres: the ECMWF (Europe), UKMO (UK), Meteo-France (France), JMA (Japan), NCEP (USA) and CMCC (Italy), as provided by the European Commission’s Copernicus Climate Change Service. It is emphasised that long-term forecasts are characterised by high uncertainty and are intended to estimate the trend in the monthly and seasonal evolution of average weather conditions. Temperature deviations on a daily and local basis due to the influence of each type of weather system may differ significantly from the average deviation over a period of one or more months in a wider area.