A steady recovery for New Democracy, which now reaches 31.4% in the vote estimate—3.1 points above its European election result—was recorded by Marc in the poll presented by Proto Thema.

This is the second consecutive survey by the company since October 2025 showing an increase in support for the ruling party. Positive evaluations of the government also rose by 1.8 points compared to last November, now reaching 36.8%, giving ND additional momentum.

At the same time, Kyriakos Mitsotakis increased his suitability rating for prime minister by 1.4 points, rising to 32.6%, exceeding his party’s percentage. He has four times the approval of second-placed Zoe Konstantopoulou, who recorded 8.1%.

New Democracy maintains dominant percentages among right-wing voters with 47.1% voting intention, and among center-right voters with 59.8%. It also holds first place in the political center, narrowly ahead of PASOK.

Meanwhile, the main opposition continues to struggle, as does Nikos Androulakis, who drops from second to fourth place in suitability for prime minister with a weak 5.8%. In vote estimates, his party reaches 13%, having lost one point since last November. Notably, 20.5% of PASOK voters from the 2023 elections evaluate the government positively or rather positively, while 13.5% consider Kyriakos Mitsotakis the most suitable for prime minister.

PASOK wins—by a margin of just 0.4 percentage points over Course of Freedom—the title of the party making the most substantive opposition, according to voters aged 65 and over, as well as among New Democracy voters.

Although Nikos Androulakis leads Zoe Konstantopoulou narrowly in suitability among centrist voters, and leads all among center-left voters, he rallies only 35.3% of PASOK voters from the June 2023 elections. He also faces competition from both Course of Freedom and Hellenic Solution, which remain at marginal double-digit percentages in the battle for second place.

However, according to the Marc survey results, the second-place position is also being contested by the emerging parties of Maria Karystianou and Alexis Tsipras. The total potential vote for Ms. Karystianou stands at 30.5%, with “certain” support at 9.7%. For Alexis Tsipras, the respective figures are 20.2% and 8.8%.

The situation becomes more complicated, as 11.5% of those intending to vote for PASOK in the next elections say they would “definitely” consider voting for Karystianou’s party, while 5.3% say the same for Tsipras’ party.

Ms. Karystianou shows the highest acceptance among center-left voters at 10.9%, and also among right-wing voters at 10.3%, while she records just 3.9% among voters identifying as “left-wing.” She has 19.5% penetration among those intending to vote for Hellenic Solution and 17.9% among those intending to vote for Course of Freedom. Alexis Tsipras draws 59.5% from SYRIZA and penetrates KKE with 11.4%.

Therefore, a pre-election landscape is taking shape with the ruling party and the prime minister in a dominant position, and five parties—two of them still forming—competing for second place without threatening New Democracy’s lead. Although elections are still far off, this could play a significant role in shaping alignments in a potential second round, when the dilemma for voters will concern governance rather than simply party strength. The Marc survey indicates a seven-party parliament, lowering the threshold for an absolute majority: Spartans and Niki fall outside in this measurement, and MeRA25 does not exceed 2.8% in the vote estimate.

Constitutional revision, dialogue with Turkey, and migration

Cross-party approval is recorded for Mitsotakis’ proposals on constitutional revision, according to the Marc survey results. For example, 92.5% support changing Article 86 on ministers’ criminal liability “so that they are treated like all citizens before Justice.” Abolishing tenure for public employees who fail to meet their duties or harm the public interest is supported by 82%, and universal evaluation in the public sector by 79%.

The fiscal brake in state budgets is supported by 76.7%, while 72.1% agree with postal voting for voters within Greece. Judges’ participation in selecting the leadership of the judiciary is backed by 71.8%. Postal voting for expatriates is supported by 66.1%, and 62.9% favor establishing a single six-year term for the President of the Republic.

The only change dividing society concerns Article 16 on universities, with 48.8% saying “yes” and 46.3% “no.” Center-left and left-wing voters, at rates of 62.9% and 83.8%, oppose the establishment of non-state universities, while centrists, center-right, and right-wing voters support the proposal.