The ICC’s action sends a strong signal that goes beyond mere public relations. It creates substantial challenges that directly affect the US—not only under President Joe Biden but also for the incoming administration of Donald Trump.

Issuing a warrant against the leader of a nation with democratic institutions is notable in itself. If that nation is Israel, it’s doubly significant since the matter also has ramifications for the US.

Why This Matters for Israel

This development further isolates Tel Aviv, which has been losing diplomatic leverage for over a year since Hamas’ incursions.

The warrant ramps up pressure on Netanyahu to end the bombardment of Gaza. Public and behind-the-scenes efforts to push him in this direction have so far failed. Even President Joe Biden froze arms and financial aid to Israel six months ago, reflecting mounting frustration. Secretary of State Antony Blinken’s nine visits to the Middle East also yielded no tangible results regarding a ceasefire or increased humanitarian aid for Gaza.

Now, the decision to target Israel’s leadership also becomes a problem for the U.S.

Why This Is an Issue for the U.S.

Beyond the optics, this is the first time the ICC has targeted a U.S. ally in such a way. In the next two months, the Oval Office is likely to face diplomatic challenges stemming from this situation. Biden now faces an uphill battle, as opponents to Israel can now wield the argument: “Yes, but they’re accused of war crimes.”

The U.S. and Israel do not recognize the ICC’s jurisdiction, which complicates matters further. This issue will inevitably pass unresolved to the next president, Donald Trump.

Reports suggest the U.S. was aware of the ICC’s actions as early as last week. Both the Senate and House, including Republicans, have called on Biden to pressure the ICC, arguing that the warrants “create more problems than they solve.” This complex issue is likely to be one of the first files awaiting Trump upon his return to the Oval Office on January 20.