A much higher level of voter consolidation for New Democracy (ND), which rises to 27.5%, gaining nearly three percentage points from April’s survey (24.6%), is recorded in a Real Polls survey presented on Protagon.gr.

The increase in ND’s percentages is mainly attributed to the shrinking pool of undecided voters (from 18% in April to 9% today), as some now support the new parties, while the party’s “hard” base has also become reactivated.

Alexis Tsipras’ party emerges as the second force in voting intention with 14.1%, while Maria Karystianou’s “Hope for Democracy” follows with 11.4%, with the two parties together reaching 25.5%.

PASOK records losses of 1.8 points in voting intention, dropping from 10.4% in April to 8.6% now. However, its monthly loss reaches 5.7 points in projected election results, as Tsipras’ party absorbs undecided centre-left voters.

Course of Freedom falls from 6.1% in April to 3.7%, as a large portion of its support migrates toward the two new parties — anti-establishment voters have found two fresher vehicles. In projected election results, Zoe Konstantopoulou’s party collapses from 10.7% to 4.5%.

SYRIZA and MeRA25 almost disappear, as the dominance of the left-wing opposition, at least initially, shifts entirely to Tsipras. SYRIZA drops from 3.8% in voting intention to 1.2%, while Yanis Varoufakis’ party falls from 3.4% to 1.5%.

In projected election results, ND stands at 29.1%, above its European election result of 28.31%, but below April’s measurement (30.6%), something attributed to the reduced number of undecided voters.

Tsipras’ party comes second with 16.1%, Karystianou’s party third with 13.1%, and PASOK-KINAL fourth at 9.4%, having lost its double-digit status (15.3% in April). Fifth is the KKE with 7.4% (up from 6.3%), sixth Hellenic Solution with 5.6% (down from 7%), seventh Course of Freedom with 4.5%, and eighth Voice of Reason with 4.1% (up from 3.7%).

The return of Tsipras

To the question of whether Tsipras’ return was necessary because of the weakness of the current official opposition, 61.6% answered negatively (46.7% “definitely not,” 14.9% “probably not”), compared to 33.6% positively.

According to the company’s analysts, the finding is contradictory:
“While PASOK has been squeezed below 10%, public opinion does not explicitly recognize a ‘vacuum’ in the official opposition.”

Asked whether Alexis Tsipras has the strength to stand as a counterweight to ND, opinions are almost split (38.9% yes, 52.0% no). On the more ambitious scenario — becoming the leading party — 81.9% responded negatively.

In other words, according to Real Polls analysts, Tsipras is recognized as a strong opposition figure, but not as a realistic contender for power.

Karystianou’s party

58.8% believe that the party expresses society’s anger toward the political system, while only 35.3% disagree. “Hope for Democracy” remains, in the minds of citizens, primarily a protest movement.

At the same time, 61.6% believe it will mainly attract abstaining or undecided voters. According to analysts, this means the public sees the party not as transferring votes from existing parties, but as activating a previously disengaged electorate.

If confirmed, Karystianou would first alter participation levels before altering political distribution.

However, confidence in the party’s political structure is limited: only 17.8% believe it has the political maturity to function as a credible governing party, while 73.2% disagree.

Similarly, 65.5% believe the phenomenon will fade quickly and lose influence — reflecting systemic skepticism toward new political movements in Greece.

Karystianou is therefore viewed as both a moral voice and a symbol of public anger, but not as a likely governing figure.

PASOK, the big loser

60.6% believe PASOK will lose a significant share of its voters to Tsipras’ party, compared to only 32.4% who disagree.

This reflects a crisis of confidence in PASOK’s dominant role within the centre-left — a position it had assumed precisely because of Tsipras’ absence.

Only 38.2% believe PASOK will maintain dominance in the centre-left space, while 51.9% disagree. The image of PASOK as the “natural” second party appears to be breaking down.

At the same time, 29.6% believe part of PASOK’s electorate will shift toward ND because of the increased polarization brought by Tsipras’ return — a finding consistent with ND’s recovery in this poll.

A segment of PASOK’s centrist voters appears to view ND as the safer option in a fluid political environment with two new “anti-establishment” poles.

Finally, on the most politically decisive question — whether PASOK remains the most likely alternative government to ND — public opinion is nearly evenly split: 37.6% yes, 55.0% no.

“With the two new parties competing for the role of the main opposition, Nikos Androulakis sees the central narrative of ‘alternative governance’ — which he defended over recent months — losing traction.”