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Analysis: The Strait of Hormuz, a ceasefire hanging by a thread, and what Trump and Iran want – “Shipwreck” in the negotiations in Islamabad
Trump is attempting an exit even without a clear victory, the mullahs are “investing” in the Strait of Hormuz as a means of pressure on the international community, and Israel is focusing its military operations on Lebanon - Markets are constantly pricing in geopolitical risk
Analysis: Hormuz is not enough – How long until global oil flows are restored, and why prices won’t return to pre-war levels
Dozens of refineries, storage facilities, and oil and gas fields across nine countries have been hit by attacks, taking more than 10% of global oil supply offline
Iran’s oil windfall amid war with the US & Israel: How it exports up to 2.8 million barrels daily and who keeps buying
According to The Economist, despite the near closure of the Strait of Hormuz and the removal of roughly 15% of global oil supply from the market, Tehran continues to boost its revenues through a complex network of transport and financial transactions
One month of war, four scenarios for the next day, the facts and the entry into a dangerous phase
The most likely development is a prolonged unstable situation. Neither side has achieved a decisive military victory. Tehran’s goal is to maintain uncertainty. Disagreements between the US and Israel regarding objectives and strategy. Netanyahu is determined to take it to the end. Internal pressures exist in both camps
CNN Analysis: The seven islands controlling the Strait of Hormuz and the strategy that could determine Gulf dominance
Seven islands - Abu Musa, Greater and Lesser Tunb, Hengam, Qeshm, Larak and Hormuz - form what researchers describe as Iran’s “defensive arc,” a strategic network that plays a decisive role in controlling the Strait of Hormuz and, by extension, influence over the wider Gulf region
The “X-ray” of the latest polls: Rise for New Democracy, PASOK steady, Konstantopoulou declining
Both polls show an increase for New Democracy, which now reaches 31.1% – PASOK maintains second place – Course of Freedom loses support
How the war in Iran “hit” Turkey
The new balances in the Middle East and the Eastern Mediterranean have exposed Ankara’s weaknesses. President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan sees that American plans do not include him, Israel is the undisputed regional power, while Greece is consolidating its position by making a “show of strength” and Cyprus is being fortified with the support of all of Europe
How hard will markets be hit by the war? The “Black Swans” of March and the resilience of the Greek economy
The war does not appear likely to end soon and, as it continues, it undermines the base scenario of a short conflict, increasing uncertainty
What is Iran’s grand strategy in the Persian Gulf? The center of gravity of the war and Trump’s mistake
Tehran has developed a clear plan in response to the US–Israeli strikes - The three areas it focuses on
How quickly will the war in Iran end? Trump and Netanyahu…“picking petals off the daisy,” while Europe risks a new recession
The war with Iran is almost over, the U.S. president said yesterday, while reports suggest he is under pressure from his advisers to find an exit strategy. “We are not finished yet,” Netanyahu said today, and Europe clearly sees that there is no common strategy for ending the hostilities
